In 2009 Ian Kinsler was just the fifth second baseman to complete a 30/30 season since 2000. Think about that—During those heady days of crazy power numbers he was only the fifth second baseman to accomplish this feat. That should give you a pretty good idea of just how good this young man is capable of becoming.
Below are Kinsler’s stats for the last three seasons:
Year | Games | R | HR | RBI | SB | AVG |
2008 | 121 | 102 | 18 | 71 | 26 | .319 |
2009 | 144 | 101 | 31 | 86 | 31 | .253 |
2010 | 103 | 73 | 9 | 45 | 15 | .286 |
Obviously 2009 really sticks out because of his power numbers and a nice amount of steals. Unfortunately, it also came with his lowest batting average in the majors. Runs have been fairly consistent, averaging about .74 runs per game played. The rub with Kinsler has been just that, how many games can you expect him to play?
Normally I try not to let spring training stats affect my opinion of a player too much, but with a potential star such as Kinsler coming off a down season and injuries it’s important to see how he bounces back. If his spring stats are any indication, it could be a big year for the Rangers second baseman. Through March 14th, Kinsler is leading the Cactus League in home runs with five and hitting .382 in 34 at-bats. Additionally, from a ranking standpoint you have to slide him up your list with Chase Utley out for an undetermined period of time.
Adding to those factors is his move to the top of the Rangers lineup. While his RBI numbers will most likely go down, you can expect more runs and steal opportunities which should more than make up for it. Pull all those things together, and it points to a big bounce back opportunity for Ian Kinsler.
2011 Fantasy Forecast: 110 R, 20 HR, 75 RBI, 25 SB, .280 Avg
Previous Bounce Back Selections: Pablo Sandoval, Justin Upton, Jimmy Rollins, Jason Bay, Russell Martin
Brian is a Senior Writer for 4thandHome.com where this, and other work, can be found. Additionally, he is co-host of the 4th and Home Radio show on Blog Talk Radio.
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