I saw something this on TigerTales, so though I would try it out. The projections are shown in the table below of the projected starting rotation.
I took the average of the ERA and the K/BB with the following systems: Bill James, CHONE, and Marcel. To give you a perspective on these stats for the Crew a year ago, the team ERA was:3.85 and K/BB 2.10.
With Yovani Gallardo missing most of the season with a knee injury, he is expected to pick up this pitching staff and lead them this season. In four starts last season, he had a 1.88 ERA and a 2.5 K/BB rate.
It is not fair to say what he would have had. With the projections the Crew's ace is projected to have the lowest ERA and second highest K/BB rate.
The rest with the exception of Suppan is acceptable with ERA and K/BB. The spot where Suppan will is going to be hard on the offense. Considering that Crew will have to put up around five runs every fifth day.
With McClung getting some chances to make the rotation this spring. I think that the Crew should move McClung to the 4 or 5 spot and sent Suppan to the bullpen.
Table of Pitching Projections
Pitcher | ERA | K/BB |
Yovani Gallardo | 3.56 | 2.65 |
Dave Bush | 4.19 | 2.77 |
Manny Parra | 4.20 | 2.14 |
Braden Looper | 4.37 | 1.98 |
Jeff Suppan | 4.96 |
1.51 |
Seth McClung | 4.29 |
1.64 |
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