1. Young Manager Trend Is Getting Old Fast
There could be as many as 10 managerial openings before the first tee times of the offseason are scheduled, and looking at the potential junkyard of spare parts and rusted-out chassis, the early question of the winter is this:
Is the trend toward hiring young skippers with no coaching experience who recently retired as players headed the way of the black-and-white scoreboard?
Time was, you shopped for a new manager on the Good Old Boy Network. Guys such as Mike Hargrove and Phil Garner were recycled more frequently than old newspapers and old Motown hits.
Recent hires such as Walt Weiss (Colorado), Robin Ventura (Chicago White Sox), Brad Ausmus (Detroit) and Mike Redmond (Florida) have the job trending in a new direction. None of those guys had coaching, let alone managerial, experience before taking control of their shiny new franchises.
The thinking in today's postmodern, techno world is that front offices with beefed up brainpower accumulate and crunch so much analytical information that they enter into a partnership with the manager. They feed him stats and tendencies that influence lineups and decisions, which lessens the responsibility for the skipper.
In turn, the manager's chief responsibility turns from running a game to commanding respect in the clubhouse while playing nice with the front office and, eventually, making a few key in-game decisions.
Thus the current trend of identifying recent retirees who still relate well to the modern player, know the game and can be molded like clay by front offices.
Problem is, so many of them have wound up managing disaster areas and, even having been outfitted for hard hats, still have gone splat! Marlins chief executioner Jeffrey Loria axed Redmond months ago. Ausmus, poor guy, is managing on the knife's edge while reports of his demise in Detroit are greatly propagated (but surely not exaggerated). Weiss has produced the worst winning percentage of any manager in Rockies history (and we're not exactly talking about an assembly line of Sparky Andersons there). Ventura's White Sox won last winter by acquiring Jeff Samardzija, David Robertson and Adam LaRoche but are losing the AL Central.
None of those guys had a day's worth of coaching experience, let alone managerial chops, before being hired.
Matt Williams in Washington is a slightly different case, in that he spent three seasons apprenticing as a coach on then-Arizona manager Kirk Gibson's staff before the Nationals hired him. But that's still precious little experience and zero managerial experience, and this side of Ausmus, no manager is taking as much venom for looking like a dolt this season as Williams.
It turns out that managing maybe is far more difficult than, and maybe not quite the cooperative venture that, some of these fancy front offices think.
Among the teams that appear to be locks for the postseason, well-seasoned managers are leading the way in New York (Joe Girardi, Yankees, and Terry Collins, Mets), Toronto (John Gibbons), Kansas City (Ned Yost), Pittsburgh (Clint Hurdle), Chicago (Joe Maddon) and Los Angeles (Don Mattingly). In Texas, though Jeff Banister is a rookie manager, the Rangers hired him after he coached in the Pirates organization for 29 years.
Only Mike Matheny in St. Louis was hired with no managerial or coaching experience, in 2012, to replace Tony La Russa.
"I think a couple of things come into play," Cardinals general manager John Mozeliak says. "One was, no, Mike hadn't had experience, but he was very active in the organization. I think he understood from a cultural standpoint what we had going. For him to step in, his biggest learning curve was understanding the day-to-day of running a team.
"He didn't have to worry necessarily about having to recreate something, or invent something."
Matheny is the outlier among both the group of this year's expected October managers and the group of men who came to manage with no previous experience. The Cardinals rightfully are praised for being a model organization that rarely hits false notes, and they hit it out of the park with their out-of-the-box hire of Matheny.
In each of his first three seasons of managing, Matheny led the Cardinals to the National League Championship Series. He piloted them into the World Series in 2013. And for most of this season, they've owned baseball's best record despite being devastated by injuries (just like Williams' Nationals, only with vastly different results).
Before the Cardinals hired him, Matheny had played for the organization under La Russa from 2000 to 2004. Then, after he retired in 2006, he worked in the Cardinals' minor league system.
"He had been around our club," Mozeliak says. "And obviously, it was nice that he lived in St. Louis, too. You're closer to HQ [headquarters] to begin with."
The White Sox famously talked Ventura out of retirement (he was working with a high school team in California at the time) and into their job, to replace Ozzie Guillen, after the 2011 season. Though he finished as the runner-up American League Manager of the Year in 2012, Ventura's Sox have not cracked .500 since.
The Tigers plucked Ausmus out of the San Diego front office to replace Jim Leyland for the 2014 season. The Marlins hired Redmond in 2013 to replace the controversial Guillen.
One of the few places where a new manager is having success this summer is in Minnesota, where Hall of Famer Paul Molitor has the Twins in surprising contention for an American League wild-card spot. Though he is a rookie manager, Molitor spent many years as a roving instructor in Minnesota's organization, as a hitting coach (Seattle) and as a bench coach (in Minnesota to former Twins skipper Ron Gardenhire).
One legendary manager with two World Series rings who remains very close to the Twins thinks that despite varying philosophies and changing front offices, one thing hasn't changed for managers.
"I'm a firm believer in the players are going to decide pretty much where you're going to finish or how you look or do," says Tom Kelly, who managed the Twins from 1986 to 2001 and led them to World Series titles in 1987 and 1991. "Molly and I had a similar conversation about this the other day. He understands when his pitcher pitches good, there's a good chance we'll win. And when he doesn't pitch good, it's going to be an uphill climb."
Kelly was a stern, old-school pilot who had a firm grasp on his team, made all of the decisions with little (and maybe zero) front-office interference and probably would not work in a world today in which it sometimes takes a village to manage a baseball club.
But he remains a baseball genius, and he retains an open mind.
"I think it comes down to staying healthy, and that pretty much is going to tell you how you're going to do," he says. "I don't know if it's a direct correlation to being first-year manager or a manager with no experience.
"With Ausmus…I don't know what goes on inside their doors, what they do on the side, how they work or how they conduct their programs. I don't know if Justin Verlander ever got really right this year. Anibal Sanchez has only pitched a handful of times. And then, of course, they tried some new people like this Alfredo Simon guy; he pitches good every so often, just enough to tease you.
"What we can see is they didn't stay healthy."
And what we know is that nobody ages more visibly and more quickly than presidents and baseball managers. As for the young managers, because they didn't retire very long ago, they played in an era in which they made their money and are financially set, which makes you wonder whether some ultimately will decide they want no part of the job. Ausmus, for example, made roughly $36 million during his playing days; Ventura earned $67 million, and Williams raked in nearly $79 million.
So from that perspective, who needs fans jeering during a postgame news conference as they leave the ballpark?
"My answer, in a generic sense, is that it shows you it's hard," Mozeliak says. "It is a difficult business. Success comes from a lot of things, right? You have to have talented players, a talented coaching staff, the support of the front office, you have ownership that supports everything I just mentioned.
"So to blame or to point where the breakdown is would be absolutely impossible for me to articulate. In essence, you have to have a lot of things pointing in the right direction for success. It doesn't necessarily fall on one set of shoulders."
In one sense, the trend toward hiring managers with no experience can be construed as a slap in the face at the job in general, a diminishing of the position. We've reached the point where executives think the role of a big league manager is such that no experience is necessary? Really?
There is no one-size-fits-all. Obviously, it's worked beautifully in St. Louis. It's also been an unmitigated disaster in many other places.
Speaking generally and emphasizing that he is not speaking on any particular situation, Mozeliak agreed that maybe the upshot of some of this is that perhaps some people are learning that managing isn't as easy as they think.
"I do think, in general, people don't understand the day-to-day difficulties of managing and the nuances it takes to be successful," the Cardinals GM says. "From a very generalized perspective, we all sit in the stands and think, 'OK, pinch-hit here, get someone up in the bullpen here, steal here.'
"But there is so much more to the game than just that. So much more to running a team than just that. You think about the job description for a manager, and it's pretty robust and very demanding."
2. Minnesota's Magic
Like Houston and the Cubs, everybody knew the Twins finally had some talented minor leaguers on the way and it would just be a matter of time until they started winning again.
Like the Astros and the Cubs, the Twins are arriving at least a year before expected.
Who knows whether they can finish off their improbable season by seizing a wild-card berth, but however this plays out, with a rotation still forming, the fact that the Twins are sprinting down the stretch is impressive.
Torii Hunter told me this spring that rookie outfielder Byron Buxton is "Mike Trout 2," a statement that carries heft, because Hunter was with the Angels when Trout arrived, and took the kid under his wing. So he knows Trout. And he knows Buxton.
I was thinking of this as I read a piece by (St. Paul) Pioneer Press beat writer Mike Berardino earlier this month on rookie Miguel Sano's hot bat. Berardino quoted Minnesota shortstop Eduardo Escobar on Sano: "Miggy is strong, man. Good approach at the plate, good discipline. He looks like a veteran guy, not a rookie. For me, Miggy is the next Miguel Cabrera in this league."
As Berardino wrote, Escobar paused and then continued: "Sano is the next Miguel Cabrera in a couple of years. I'm serious."
Sano has 17 homers and 49 RBI in 67 games while batting .280/.396/.569, and he has a solid head start on Buxton, who suffered a wrist injury earlier in the season and is hitting only .197/.236/.265 with no homers and two RBI in 37 games.
3. This Week in Mets-dom
In 2007, the Mets led the NL East by seven games with only 17 to play, went 5-12 and coughed it up to the Phillies.
In 2008, they led the division by 3.5 games with 17 to play, went 7-10 and blew the division title again.
The Mets were in control of Sunday night's game against the Yankees with Matt Harvey on the mound and a 1-0 lead. Then they yanked him in their continued chaotic attempt to preserve his arm, and the Yankees bludgeoned them 11-2.
With a 9.5-game lead on the disintegrating Nationals heading into Tuesday night, it is hard to believe that even the Mets will fritter away the division title this year. But by throttling back on Harvey and other young starters before pressing the pedal to the metal again in October, it is difficult to see how this will end well.
Hopefully, everyone stays healthy. But no matter how much protective bubble wrap you use, pitchers break anyway.
So do plans. The Nationals confidently shelved Stephen Strasburg in 2012, figuring they would be in plenty of other Octobers and he would have other chances to help them win a World Series. Oh, really?
Legitimate chances to win a World Series do not come around often. You have to seize them when they do. The Mets over the past month, exciting as they've been, look like they're making things up as they go. They have a great chance to win. Yet, the way this is going, it sure looks like they've got an even better chance to author another disaster like '07 and '08.
Hard to blame frustrated manager Terry Collins:
This thing is turning into a circus, which former Atlanta pitching coach Leo Mazzone spelled out well to Bob Nightengale from USA Today.
"I think the thing is totally asinine," Mazzone said. "Come on, you want [Harvey] to go five innings, and maybe even less in his next starts, and then you want him to go seven, eight or nine innings in the playoffs. That's totally ridiculous. You're going to blow out your bullpen before the playoffs even start."
4. This Week in Joe Maddon
Here come the Cubs and Cardinals into an entirely new chapter of their rivalry. And instead of the old bad blood between Dusty Baker and Tony La Russa, now the managers are Maddon and Mike Matheny.
It's still as entertaining as ever, though, based on batters being drilled by pitches over the weekend.
It started on Friday, when St. Louis reliever Matt Belisle hit Anthony Rizzo after Cubs starter Dan Haren had drilled Matt Holliday in the head with a pitch.
"I don't know who put out the hit," Maddon told reporters afterward. "I don't know if Tony Soprano is in the dugout. I didn't see him in there. We're not going to put up with that from them or anyone else."
The only thing missing was the late, great James Gandolfini and Journey's "Don't Stop Believin'."
Then on Saturday, Cubs relievers hit three St. Louis batters. Chicago pleaded innocent, though Maddon eloquently explained he understood it looked bad.
"Of course it was [accidental]," Maddon told reporters. "I know nobody wants to believe me. You're not going to believe me, all of Cardinal Nation, God bless you, I know you're not going to believe me and I get it.
"There's no way for me to sit here and even attempt to ameliorate your concerns. None of that was intentional. It just happens. It's part of the game. But again, go ahead and lay it all on me, man. I'm OK with it."
Outside of Pittsburgh, New York and Los Angeles, is there anybody who doesn't want to see Cubs-Cardinals in October?
5. The Pujols Albatross
Here come the Angels, racing down the stretch, desperately trying to grab one of the American League wild-card spots.
Albert Pujols, at 35, has been having his best season in Anaheim since his first year there (2012), with 35 homers and 86 RBI through 145 games.
But as the Angels sprint toward the season's final few days, going into Tuesday night's crucial game with Houston, Pujols is limited to designated hitter duties because of a sore right foot and was 0-for-20 before collecting two singles in Saturday's first game of a doubleheader in Minnesota.
In 80 plate appearances this month leading into Tuesday's game, Pujols was hitting .143/.238/.229 with one home run and 10 RBI.
His outstanding first half warranted his 10th All-Star appearance (first since 2010), but the season has ground him down. In September, he is looking his age.
Maybe the Angels can still salvage their season, but with Pujols scuffling badly, it is worth pointing out that since they signed him to the 10-year, $240 million deal before the 2012 season, as things stand now, this would be their third season of four with him in which they are sitting home in October. They have yet to win even one playoff game, let alone a playoff series, since signing Pujols, and the Royals swept them last October.
Worse yet, they are slowly allowing the prime of Mike Trout to slip by with little return. Since his debut in 2011, those postseason numbers now are the same for Trout as for Pujols: just one playoff appearance last fall and a whitewashing.
6. You're Out!
Interesting trivia point: Rookie Padres manager Pat Murphy is tied for the major league lead in managerial ejections despite not taking over from Bud Black until June 16. In only 83 games going into Tuesday night, Murphy has been ejected five times.
Here are the leaders for 2015, from friend David Vincent of the Society for American Baseball Research, who keeps track of such things:
- Bruce Bochy, Giants, 5
- John Gibbons, Blue Jays, 5
- Pat Murphy, Padres, 5
- Jeff Banister, Rangers, 5
- Joe Maddon, Cubs, 5
- Buddy Black, Padres, 4
- Terry Francona, Indians, 4
- Clint Hurdle, Pirates, 4
- Don Mattingly, Dodgers, 4
- Lloyd McClendon, Mariners, 4
- Brad Ausmus, Tigers, 4
- Joe Girardi, Yankees, 4
Yes, you read that correctly: Between Murphy and Black, Padres managers have been tossed in nine games this season, nearly double that of their closest, hot-headed competitors.
7. You're Out II!
One more ranking of managerial ejections for 2015 from our friend Mr. Vincent, and this list is more of a head-scratcher. These are skippers (and players) thumbed for arguing a replay decision, which leads to an automatic ejection:
8. Weekly Power Rankings
1. Pope Francis: Friday's Mass in Madison Square Garden now said to be dedicated to praying for Matt Harvey's right arm.
2. David Price: Seizing the lead from Houston's Dallas Keuchel in the American League Cy Young race, Price now is 8-1 with a 1.95 ERA in 10 starts with Toronto, including 3-0 against the Yankees. OK, Blue Jays, let's play (October) ball.
3. October: The month of Halloween and pumpkin lattes is considering filing suit against MLB because this year's World Series ends in November. Booooo!
4. AL Wild-Card Race: Astros, Twins and Angels are officially jealous of the NL, where Pirates and Cubs have been locks since May.
5. Jung Ho Kang: Pirates shortstop suffers gruesome injury, is lost for season and then issues classy statement. Get well soon and come back strong next year. It's been a pleasure watching you.
9. Who's Running These Fireworks—Katy Perry?
Great moment in Cleveland last week. In case you missed it, the Progressive Field guy who hits the button for fireworks after the Indians hit a homer accidentally set them off when Kansas City outfielder Alex Rios homered.
Which prompted this great quip from Cleveland manager Terry Francona: "It shocked the hell out of me. It actually made me jump. I hope that guy's not in charge of the Fourth of July fireworks. It might be in August."
But that isn't the most incredible part. No, in a great example of single-minded focus, Francona admitted this, too: "This is the damnedest thing, but I didn't know they shot off fireworks when we hit a home run. That's unbelievable. I asked Millsy [bench coach Brad Mills], 'Do they do it when we hit a homer?' I don't remember ever seeing it or hearing it. Learn something new every day."
9a. Rock 'n' Roll Lyric of the Week
Dedicated to the crazy stretch run and all of the students back in school right about now...
"Kiss a little baby
"Give the world a smile
"If you take an inch
"Give 'em back a mile
"Cause if you lie like a rug
"And you don't give a damn
"You're never gonna be
"As happy as a clam
"So I'm sitting in a hotel
"Trying to write a song
"My head is just as empty
"As the day is long
"Why it's clear as a bell
"I should have gone to school
"I'd be wise as an owl
"Instead of stubborn as a mule"
— John Prine, "It's a Big Old Goofy World"
Scott Miller covers Major League Baseball as a national columnist for Bleacher Report.
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